Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 67.918160 76.547186 85.419467 95.193402 105.628727 116.408477 128.357401
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 54.497286 66.804554 80.077925 95.333121 112.261777 130.360514 151.062851
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 46.812794 61.160291 77.189173 96.168580 117.785323 141.417487 168.988064
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 39.905139 55.415217 73.323802 95.105493 120.482860 148.755584 182.283061
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 35.706517 52.308744 72.028611 96.553070 125.653442 158.560525 198.079416
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 32.436809 49.951787 71.302151 98.385091 131.035946 168.429614 213.814567
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 28.367469 46.176734 68.507670 97.433940 132.884971 174.012620 224.461717
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 24.266616 41.966470 64.840029 95.118854 132.849736 177.186823 232.140540
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 23.006367 41.472363 65.825208 98.523509 139.706883 188.494995 249.359666
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 21.511422 40.503073 66.079804 100.918411 145.266735 198.225327 264.712906
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 18.950002 37.769454 63.805361 99.913229 146.482922 202.636196 273.674303
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 16.619861 35.159015 61.524247 98.750747 147.382041 206.572555 282.000290
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 14.905527 33.365283 60.298287 98.948206 150.016415 212.684955 293.051297
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 13.366755 31.705197 59.157750 99.183650 152.652042 218.780045 304.089959
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 12.150771 30.453358 58.516169 100.026796 156.024616 225.761192 316.198882
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 10.560708 28.388690 56.549342 98.939328 156.794871 229.433862 324.213835
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.743592 27.609380 56.454196 100.422280 160.928868 237.330115 337.443624
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.085137 27.053797 56.657746 102.299128 165.574240 245.876432 351.497246
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 7.881321 25.315987 54.920286 101.324757 166.344274 249.456439 359.354807
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.540275 23.108630 52.296328 98.952799 165.136021 250.437400 363.913745
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 6.385261 23.362472 53.666703 102.440913 171.923102 261.729918 381.445545
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.059198 23.207803 54.342932 104.893857 177.295526 271.209324 396.722724
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.193912 21.728493 52.724423 103.864379 177.829509 274.389035 404.036546